Monday, February 9, 2009

What do cookies and drafting have in common? Part 1

Nothing if you are a fan of NASCAR, but this is a basketball blog, so if you're looking for tips on how to ride someones bumper in traffic to save on gas, GTFO.

I love cookies. Cookies are good. Nothing beats the gooey freshness and warmth of a chocolate chip cookie fresh out of the oven. Let them sit a little while to cool off and they can be almost as good. Eventually some will be put into a tin and sent to friends around the holidays. They get a little crunchy, but still tastes great, especially with milk. Unfortunately, cookies don't last forever, and eventually they get stale. These are the four groups of home-made cookies. No matter what kind of cookie you like, if it's made by mom, it will fall into one of these four groups when you get your greedy, grubby little hands on them.

What does this have to do with drafting? I have (with a little help from my friends) begun to analyze the NBA draft over the past several years in an attempt to rate teams in order of drafting prowess. I have arbitrarily created a mathematical formula that means next to nothing in the realm of all things rational. I applied this formula to every draft pick from 1997-2007, and came up with a draft "score" per team. Averaging this score amongst their draft picks, I am able to rank each team based on their selections - and the performance of their selections - in the NBA.

In order to keep player perceptions out of the mix, I used Hollinger PER rankings as a measure of player performance. Teams get a bonus for years a player stuck around in the league, and a player's draft worth increases as their pick increases. An All-Star player picked first overall is not worth much because you expect great things from such an early pick, but identifying talent late in the draft can mean a significant bonus for your overall status. Think Dwight Howard vs. Manu Ginobli. Do the Magic get more credit for selecting Dwight overall when compared to the Spurs selecting Manu with the 57 pick in draft?

A couple points to keep in mind. This is draft picks only. This isn't to say that a team that drafts horribly can't be a decent team, or that a team that is excellent at drafting is a great team overall (though it certainly can't hurt). Also, if a team selects a player on behalf of another team, then trades said player to said team, the team ending up with said player gets credit for the selection.

Over the coming weeks, I will break down this list into four main groups.
  • Fresh out of the oven yummy cookies
  • Cooled off, but still fresh deliciousness
  • Out of the tin and still great with milk
  • Stale and ready to be thrown out
I welcome your comments, input, and pictures of lolcats equally. This is a beginning, and will be treated as such. Your inputs may impact the overall document, sway my thoughts on the formula, point out errors in my process, or just make me laugh at you. So, without any further discussion, I give you "Paul Ego's Draft Rankings".

  1. SAC
  2. SAS
  3. MIL
  4. PHX
  5. SEA
  6. GSW
  7. IND
  8. BOS
  9. CLE
  10. DET
  11. WAS
  12. UTH
  13. NJN
  14. MEM
  15. ORL
  16. NYK
  17. NOR
  18. LAL
  19. CHI
  20. PHI
  21. DAL
  22. MIA
  23. HOU
  24. DEN
  25. MIN
  26. LAC
  27. ATL
  28. POR
  29. CHA
  30. TOR
Next week: Hot and fresh out of the oven. The top five teams.

Music Monday

As we see Jameer on the bench every night in his dapper suits with the elbow patches we here at TPASTBM cannot shake how much we miss him.


  • Everytime "Pops" looks like he is going to have a heart attack or asthma attack we miss him.

  • Everytime Turk tries to do anything in crunch time and turns the ball over we miss him.

  • Everytime Turk's pass sails into the 3rd row we miss him.

  • Everytime we hear 2Pac's All Eyes on Me we miss him.

  • Everytime we have to hear STILL whether or not picking up Tyronn Lue was a good idea we miss him.

With that said our Music Monday selection is this fine tune by Miley Cyrus "Miss You"

Just let the chorus take over your heart and let the music set you free.

I miss you. I miss your smile. And I still shed a tear every once in a while. And even though it's different now. You're still here somehow. My heart won't let you go and I need you to know I miss you, sha la la la la I miss you.




Sunday, February 8, 2009

Nets at Magic


A few quick links to get us ready for this evening...


1. In its game preview the USA Today tells us that Tyronn Lue should be available tonight. We do wonder however if we will see more of Lee at the point tonight since Devin Harris is lightning quick and really do not see AJ or Lue being able to contain him.

2. According to BS of the OS our old friend Keyon Dooling holds no ill will towards the Magic and has even leaned on Jameer for emotional support as his father is sick.

3. The Nets just laid a 44 point beatdown on a Denver team with Carmelo last night 114-70.

4. The Magic's next 2 opponents are coming off of back to back situations although that did not really help Friday in Indy. Without any numbers to back me up I think the concept of catching a team on the back end of a back to back is a little overrated. Just ask the some of our Western Conference friends who played Orlando earlier this season.

5. Please kids be aware tonight's game is at 6 PM.
Credit NBA.com for the photo

Yahoo! Sports - NBA - Orlando Magic News

This blog is a fan blog, and is in no way affiliated with the Orlando Magic or the NBA. The views on this blog are for entertainment and informational purposes only.

Credit "Sebi" from the Orlando Magic Message board for the title graphic.


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